
Roy C. Amara, who helped found the Institute for the Future, a Palo Alto nonprofit that pio- neered technological and sociological forecasting, died Dec. 31 at the age of 82.
Strategic foresight is a fairly recent attempt to differentiate "futurology" from "futures studies". It arises from the premise that:
The future is not predictable; The future is not predetermined; and Future outcomes can be influenced by our choices in the present
Strategic foresight can also be practiced at three different levels:
Pragmatic foresight - "Carrying out tomorrows' business better"
Progressive foresight - "Going beyond conventional thinking and practices and reformulating processes, products, and services using quite different assumptions";
Civilisational foresight - "Seeks to understand the aspects of the next civilisation - the one that lies beyond the current impasse, the prevailing hegemony of techno/industrial/capitalist interests"
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